On Pro Mac Pricing Trends

A while back, Marco Arment wrote a piece on Mac Pro pricing trends over time. Inspired by some discussion on the MacRumors forums and the Incomparable Members Slack, I went ahead and charted all pro desktop Macs’ pricing trends since 1999. In addition, I’ve added another two lines representing the original prices in $USD adjusted for inflation to November 2017 (via CPI).

Here’s the data, pulled from EveryMac.com and the MacTracker application:

ProductLaunch dateBase PriceBase Price, Adj.High End PriceBase Price, Adj.
PowerMac G3 1,1 (B&W)Aug-99$1,599.00$2,360.41$2,999.00$4,427.05
PowerMac G4 3,1 (AGP/PCI models)Dec-99$1,599.00$2,336.63$3,499.00$5,128.31
PowerMac G4 3,3 (Digital Audio)Jul-00$1,599.00$2,282.54$3,499.00$4,994.76
PowerMac G4 3,4Jan-01$1,699.00$2,393.44$3,499.00$4,929.15
PowerMac G5 3,5 QuicksilverJul-01$1,699.00$2,361.07$3,499.00$4,862.51
PowerMac G4 3,6 MDDAug-02$1,699.00$2,319.25$3,299.00$4,503.38
PowerMac G4 3,6 (FW800)Jan-03$1,499.00$2,034.99$2,699.00$3,664.06
PowerMac G5 7,2Jun-03$1,999.00$2,684.22$2,999.00$4,027.00
PowerMac G5 7,3Jun-04$1,999.00$2,599.32$2,999.00$3,899.63
PowerMac G5 7,3 (2005)Apr-05$1,999.00$2,533.87$2,999.00$3,801.44
PowerMac G5 11,3 (Late 2005)Oct-05$1,999.00$2,475.36$3,299.00$4,085.15
Mac Pro 1,1Aug-06$2,199.00$2,660.25$3,299.00$3,990.98
Mac Pro 2,1Apr-07$2,199.00$2,624.39$3,999.00$4,772.60
Mac Pro 3,1Jan-08$2,299.00$2,686.62$4,399.00$5,140.69
Mac Pro 4,1Mar-09$2,499.00$2,897.98$5,899.00$6,804.11
Mac Pro 5,1Jul-10$2,499.00$2,827.50$6,199.00$7,015.35
Mac Pro 5,1 (2012 bump)Jun-12$2,499.00$2,686.21$6,199.00$6,663.39
Mac Pro 6,1Dec-13$2,999.00$3,174.27$6,499.00$6,878.82
Mac Pro 6,1 (2017 price cuts)Apr-17$2,999.00$3,025.31$4,999.00$5,042.85

And here’s the resulting graph:

Pro desktop Mac prices 1999-2017

The results show that Arments’s observation that Mac Pro prices have steadily increased over time actually holds for the pro desktop lineup in the modern era, although factoring in the real dollar cost with inflation shows that it’s not as steady a slope as the unadjusted dollars would suggest. Starting in 1999 with the release of the Blue & White PowerMac G3, which had an entry-level price of $1599 (or $2360 today), the entry-level cost of a new PowerMac and later Mac Pro slowly but steadily drifted upward, to $2999 with the release of the Mac Pro 6,1 at the end of 2013. The only significant model to buck the trend is in 2003, when Apple released the PowerMac G4 3,6 (or FW 800 Mirrored-Drive Doors) at a record-low $1499 price, just six months before it was replaced by the far-more-capable PowerMac G5.

Another interesting observation—the very end of the G4 era and the G5 era is interesting in the price difference between lowest and highest processor SKUs was at its smallest; the delta has since ballooned in the Intel era.

When considering the price of the upcoming Mac Pro, it’s worth considering the wider context of the pro desktop line. When the PowerMac G4 hit the scene, Apple was at the height of its famous four-product matrix. The iMac retailed for $999, a mere $600 dollar difference to jump from Apple’s cheapest consumer computer to their cheapest pro machine. That’s a far cry from the $2500 difference today to get you from the lowly and neglected Mac mini to the less lowly but similarly neglected Mac Pro.


Box Office Originality In the Modern Era

On Twitter, Todd Vaziri posted a series of tweets pointing out that domestically and worldwide, the vast majority of films this year are adaptations or sequels.

I and others pointed out that his point of comparison, 1981, was a bit odd; why a year 14 years in the past? And do two years adequately function as evidence for any sort of commentary? Todd suggested more investigation was warranted, and I agreed. There’s often an implication with these sorts of comparisons, not asserted by Todd but often declared by many others in many different places, that movies “back in the day” were better, or at least more original.

To take on that thesis, insofar as that you can objectively argue what are adaptations and sequels versus original works, I went through Box Office Mojo’s yearly domestic box office charts, and picked the original films out of each year’s top twenty.

In regards to actual classification, it’s worth noting upfront that this is really my count, and depending on what you classify as “original” you’ll end up with some fluctuation in your own tallies. I decided adaptations of historical events or people themselves were not enough to get classified as unoriginal, unless they were specifically adapted off a work. So in the case of Disney films like Hercules, Mulan, and Pocahontas—these count as original films based off historical or mythical events and characters. The Hunchback of Notre Dame? Adaptation. The Lion King? Well it’s a ripoff of Shakespeare, but counts as original in this instance (and Shakespeare himself isn’t exactly the font of unbridled creativity he’s sometimes portrayed as.) Also counted as “original” are parody movies (e.g. Scary Movie). There are some films I legitimately saw as toss-ups, such as the recent Maleficent, but counted as non-original because they were at least heavily drawing on a previous film, aside from previous folklore.

box office chart

There’s some takeaways here. First, in the selected period, there is a definite trendline of fewer original films, though it’s skewed heavily by just the last few years where the number has been historically low. Secondly, that drop can be mostly explained by “superhero movies” and “animated sequels”.

Indeed, animated films giveth, and animated films taketh away: in the 1990s and 2000s a bunch of original animated films pop up (Toy Story! Shrek! Ice Age! Despicable Me!) that prop up numbers of original films in one year, and drag it down significantly the next when there’s a glut of animated sequels (Toy Story 3! Shrek 3! Minions!)

I don’t think that there’s still enough data to say much about enduring trends, though. Certainly, as the worldwide box office has become more important, it’s made big, universal blockbusters with lots of effects much more of an important part of the filmmaking business. That’s coincided with the increased intensity of the blockbuster phenomenon itself (Jaws opened in 1975 at hundreds of theaters in an unusually wide release; these days films launch simultaneously at thousands.)

I’m wary of going more into whether or not this fixation on adapted properties and the associated tie-ins is a good thing; it’s certainly happening, and with the 2015 data not even including The Force Awakens this year is far from over for franchises. To me asserting that “original = better” is akin to the old adage of “CG is making movies worse“—which as a motion graphics guy myself strikes me as blaming computers for the failings of screenwriters and producers (Joe Rosensteel has several excellent pieces, including this one, that breaks down some of the rhetoric in the computer vs. practical effects debates.)

I included the original and inflation-adjusted domestic grosses for each year to suggest a possible counterpoint: that despite how much we complain about sequels, about how bad CG is, and how the 80s were the good old days, the increasing number of adaptations and sequels doesn’t seem to have actually hurt Hollywood. At least yet.